Thames Valley Office Market Update

JLL’s just published Western Corridor office market report concludes that the Thames Valley enjoyed a solid start to 2018. Take-up across the region totalled approximately 516,000 sq ft, representing an increase of 31% on the corresponding quarter of 2017.

The first quarter of 2018 was characterised by smaller deals, according to JLL. The the majority of activity (80%) taking place in the 10,000 sq ft to 50,000 sq ft size band. Deal numbers increased by 50% from 24 deals in Q1 2017 to 36 deals in Q1 2018.

Metropolis reported on over 30 planned relocations in the M4 corridor in Q1 2018, such as FM Global taking 57,000 sq ft at Voyager Place in Maidenhead; Black+Decker taking 49,000 sq ft at 270 Bath Road, Slough; Panasonic taking 41,000 sq ft at Maxis office scheme in Bracknell; Fora Space taking 28,000 sq ft at Thames Tower, Reading; JDA Software taking 23,000 sq ft and Riverbed Technology 16,000 sq ft at Maxis office scheme in Bracknell; GiffGaff taking 23,000 sq ft in Uxbridge; Quest Software taking 13,000 sq ft at Arlington Square, Bracknell and MBNL at Thames Tower, Reading.

JLL say that supply of office space is flattening, falling below 10m sq ft and this is expected to moderate further over 2018.  JLL also think that availability will decline in 2019 and 2020 as the number of active speculative development schemes reduce.

James Finnis, head of south east office agency at JLL, said: “The Q1 take-up figures represent a solid start to 2018. The 50% increase in the number of deals in Q1 illustrates growing occupier confidence. Occupiers are focused on the best space and there is widespread evidence of tenants trading up but taking less overall sq ft. Flexibility remains important with occupiers wanting to build in options to either grow or downsize. The addition of serviced or co-working space into multi let buildings is a natural extension of this, providing on site swing space.

Metropolis is currently tracking around 50 office searches of various sizes along the Thames Valley and talking to over 100 occupiers with approaching lease expiries in the area.

 

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February 2018 Central London Lettings

Central London office lettings in February 2018 reached just over 1m sq ft of deals from 50 mid-large size transactions (5,000 sq ft+) during the month. The February 2018 figure is in line with the current monthly average of 1m sq ft.

February was characterised by 11 office deals over 20,000 sq ft, which included Sumitomo’s 161,000 sq ft re-letting at 100 Liverpool Street, EC3; Sidley Austin’s 135,000 sq ft pre-letting at 70 St Mary Axe, EC3 and Prudential took 59,000 sq ft at Angel Court Tower, EC2.

Financial Services topped the table of lettings by sector, underpinned by Sumitomo and Prudential deals. This was followed by professional services mainly underpinned by the signing of the Sidley Austin pre-let. Office deals ‘under offer’ in central London stayed at 3.5m sq ft, but pending deal volumes are healthy in nearly all sub-markets, with over 30 deals pending.

By area, the City accounted for 50pc of the office floorspace let in February 2018 at 501,000 sq ft. The West End saw 266,000 sq ft of take-up. Midtown contributed 66,000 sq ft of lettings, plus 143,000 sq ft of Docklands deals. Current London office demand is calculated to be around 3m sq ft in the City and 2.9m sq ft in the West End.

The volume of grade A (newly built or refurbished office space) let during the month reached 557,000 sq ft (55% of the monthly total), as transactions for new space resumed their recent strong showing. Availability is dominated by secondhand space in all London markets.

Metropolis research is currently monitoring 655 ‘live’ London requirements, with deals for space of up to 1.9m sq ft due to sign in the next few months.

Cityoffices is working on its current ‘Skyline Survey’ in London. Further details of office scheme planning applications and consents, with scheme by scheme detail are listed on the Cityoffices.net website. Details on the report and the Cityoffices database from Andy King at andy@metroinfo.co.uk

Central London office lettings in January 2018

Central London office lettings in January 2018 reached a slightly downbeat 850,000 sq ft of deals from 46 mid-large size transactions (5,000 sq ft+) during the month. The January 2018 figure slightly underperforms the current monthly average of 1m sq ft.

January was characterised by 14 office deals over 20,000 sq ft, which included Google’s 127,000 sq ft re-letting at Building R7, Handyside Street, Kings Cross; Mimecast’s 78,000 sq ft letting at Finsbury Avenue, EC2 and Dell took 23,000 sq ft at Creechurch Place, EC3.

Media topped the table of lettings by sector, underpinned by Mimecast and Intuit deals. This was followed by IT services and business services mainly underpinned by serviced office operators. Office deals ‘under offer’ in central London rose slightly to 3.5m sq ft, but pending deal volumes are healthy in nearly all sub-markets, with some 40 deals pending.

By area, the City accounted for 34pc of the office floorspace let in January 2018 at 291,000 sq ft. The West End saw 228,000 sq ft of take-up. Midtown contributed 236,000 sq ft of lettings, plus 90,000 sq ft of Docklands deals. Current London office demand is calculated to be around 3.1m sq ft in the City and 2.8m sq ft in the West End.

The volume of grade A (newly built or refurbished office space) let during the month reached 433,000 sq ft (51% of the monthly total), as transactions for new space resumed their recent strong showing. Availability is dominated by secondhand space in all London markets.

Metropolis research is currently monitoring 635 ‘live’ London requirements, with deals for space of up to 1.8m sq ft due to sign in the next few months.

Cityoffices is working on its current ‘Skyline Survey’ in London. Further details of office scheme planning applications and consents, with scheme by scheme detail are listed on the Cityoffices.net website. Details on the report and the Cityoffices database from Andy King at andy@metroinfo.co.uk

 

Central London Lettings – September 2017

Central London office lettings in September 2017 reached a healthy 965,000 sq ft of deals from 61 mid-large size transactions (5,000 sq ft+) during the month. The September figure conforms to the current monthly average of just under 1m sq ft .

September was characterised by 14 office deals over 20,000 sq ft, which included Boston Consulting’s 123,000 sq ft pre-let at 80 Charlotte Street, W1, Metro Bank’s pre-let at 20 Old Bailey, EC4; Costain took 30,000 sq ft at Victoria House, WC1, and Mitie took 30,000 sq ft at The Shard, SE1.

Professional services topped the table of lettings by sector, underpinned by the Boston Consulting deal. This was followed by financial services with the large deals involving Metro Bank. Property and Business services also performed well, helped by the lettings to Costain and Mitie. Office deals ‘under offer’ in central London increased slightly at 3.6m sq ft and pending deal volumes are healthy in nearly all sub-markets.

By area, the City accounted for 33pc of the office floorspace let in September at 314,000 sq ft. The West End saw 263,000 sq ft of take-up. Midtown contributed 242,000 sq ft of lettings. Current London office demand is calculated to be around 3.1m sq ft in the City and 2.8m sq ft in the West End.

The volume of grade A (newly built or refurbished office space) let during the month reached 448,000 sq ft (46% of the monthly total), as transactions for new space resumed their recent strong showing.

Some 8.9m sq ft of offices were let in the first 3 quarters of 2017 to end of September 2017.

Metropolis research is currently monitoring 620 ‘live’ London requirements, with deals for space of up to 2m sq ft due to sign in the next few months.

Cityoffices and Metropolis are working on an analysis of lease expiries which were due to expire in 2017 and the latest London Skyline report. The update will contain details of dozens of new office schemes under construction, planning applications and consents, with scheme by scheme detail on the Cityoffices.net website. Details on Cityoffices from Andy King at andy@metroinfo.co.uk

Opportunities in Serviced Offices

Colliers International has published a new report on the serviced or flexible workspace sector. Colliers outline how the workplace solutions providers have been hoovering up office space in London at a faster rate than any other sector apart from tech and media.

Flexible office providers have accounted for 18% of take-up across London during 2017 date. Central London is now home to over 7.8 million sq ft of flexible workspace from 4.5 million sq ft in 2009. This is a rise of 73% in eight years, although flexible workspace space currently only represents 4% of total London office stock.

2017 is set to deliver up to 15,000 desks by year end. Serviced office lettings appeared to have peaked at 1.4 million sq ft in 2015, however, 2017 is set to see that figure eclipsed with 1.2 million already let and a further 750,000 sq ft under offer.

WeWork has taken over 1.25 million sq ft of office space within the past 12 months. Blackstone and British Land have both begun in-house flexibile solution without leasing space to major providers like WeWork or Regus.

Paddington and City fringe, have seen increasing vacancy rates below 5,000 sq ft, and Victoria and parts of Midtown have seen void periods double in 2017. The City core has held up, but also seen activity from providers such as WeWork, Prospect Business Centres, i2, Regus and LEO.

Metropolis has researched nearly 20 specific requirements for medium/large London serviced offices in recent months. These new searches come on top of 25 recent transactions for space. Opportunities exist for agents recruiting occupiers for the large new flexible work centres, for fit-out contractors refurbishing usually previously vacant space, for furniture providers and removal firms handling the myriad moves to the new buildings.

Colliers say the need for short leases and flexible space, particularly since the Brexit vote, is driving demand for increasing volumes of flexible workspace space. Although, flexible workspace only represents 4% of London office stock, it looks set to become an important slice of the market, not just in London, but increasingly in regional cities too.

Central London Lettings – August 2017

Central London office lettings in August 2017 reached an exceptional 1.57m sq ft of deals from 58 mid-large size transactions (5,000 sq ft+) during the month. The August figure exceeds the current monthly average of just under 1m sq ft .

August was characterised by 13 office deals over 20,000 sq ft, which included Deutsche Bank’s 470,000 sq ft pre-let at 21 Moorfields, EC2: WeWork’s two pre-lets at The Stage, EC2 and the nearby ‘Shoreditch Exchange’; Kings College London took 73,000 sq ft at Roman Wall House, EC3, and Atos took 42,000 sq ft at Mid City Place, WC1.

Financial services topped the table of lettings by sector, underpinned by the Deutsche Bank deal. This was followed by business services with large deals involvingWeWork. IT services also performed well, helped by the lettings to OpenText and Kobalt. Office deals ‘under offer’ in central London held steady at 3.5m sq ft and pending deal volumes are healthy in nearly all sub-markets.

By area, the City accounted for 68pc of the office floorspace let in August at 1,066,000 sq ft. The West End saw 233,000 sq ft of take-up. Midtown contributed 145,000 sq ft of lettings. Current London office demand is calculated to be around 3.3m sq ft in the City and 2.9m sq ft in the West End.

The volume of grade A (newly built or refurbished office space) let during the month reached 1.2m sq ft (77% of the monthly total), as transactions for new space resumed their recent strong showing.

Metropolis research is currently monitoring 600 London requirements, with deals for space of up to 2.5m sq ft due to sign in the next few months.

Cityoffices and Metropolis are working on an autumn 2017 update to their twice yearly London Skyline report. The update will contain details of dozens of new office schemes under construction, planning applications and consents, with scheme by scheme detail on the Cityoffices.net website. Details on Cityoffices from Andy King at andy@metroinfo.co.uk

Central London Lettings – July 2017

Central London office lettings in July 2017 sustained a healthy 820,000 sq ft of deals from 48 mid-large size transactions (5,000 sq ft+) during the month. The July figure is close to the current monthly average of just under 1m sq ft .

July was characterised by 14 office deals over 20,000 sq ft, which included Spotify’s 104,000 sq ft deal at the Adelphi Building, WC2: law firm Withers pre-let 60,000 sq ft at 20 Old Bailey, EC4; Yahoo/AOL took 43,000 sq ft at Mid City Place, WC1 and HSBC pre-let 36,000 sq ft at 7 Cork Street in W1.

IT and tech services topped the table of lettings by sector, underpinned by the Spotify and Yahoo deals. This was followed by professional services with large deals involving Withers and Bazalgette Tunnel. Financial services also performed well, helped by the lettings to HSBC and Redington. Office deals ‘under offer’ in central London held steady at 3.4m sq ft and pending deal volumes are healthy in nearly all sub-markets.

By area, the City accounted for 31pc of the office floorspace let in July at 250,000 sq ft. The West End saw 177,000 sq ft of take-up. Midtown contributed 300,000 sq ft of lettings. Current London office demand is calculated to be around 3.2m sq ft in the City and 3m sq ft in the West End.

The volume of grade A (newly built or refurbished office space) let during the month reached 480,000 sq ft (58% of the monthly total), as transactions for new space resumed their recent strong showing.

Metropolis research is currently monitoring 600 London requirements, with deals for space of up to 3m sq ft due to sign in the next few months.

Cityoffices and Metropolis have just released releasing their twice yearly Skyline report on the London office construction market. The summer report features analysis of the 100 schemes under construction and the trends for the next wave of schemes. Details on Cityoffices from Andy King at andy@metroinfo.co.uk