Metropolis Movers September 2018

Metropolis ran 535 business leads on ‘office movers’ in September 2018. If all reported moves were added together the total would exceed 13 million sq ft of office searches and transactions, researched by Metropolis’ unique market-led intelligence research team, last month.

London was the largest region with 270 business leads during month, but there were also strong showings from the South East (53),  North West (52) and Yorkshire (40). Financial services, IT and business services were the largest business sectors planning relocations or agreeing moves during the month.

The relocation leads geographically covered the whole UK and provided details of the size of the office occupier, company likely move dates, a description of the reasons for the move, its business sector and full contact details including an address for written inquiries, at least one telephone number and in most cases an email address. Some of the largest planned moves and top picks amongst the 535 September leads, included those on occupiers Apple, Santander, EBRD, PWC and UK Hydrographic .

The September 2018 leads included 175 ‘identified requirements’, including 105 in London. Which means that the company confirmed to researchers that it has current or future plans to search for alternative office space. Of these 175 searches, 110 were newly posted office searches, not previously notified to clients.

The most recent research also included 153 ‘potential movers,’ which were mainly longer-term leads on occupiers, considering a relocation, but the occupier has yet to make a final decision on whether to search.

Most of the remaining stories covered companies that have just signed for new office space and have set a move date, including some large pre-lets and companies inviting tenders for fit-out contracts. The shortest planned move date is just over a month away, whilst the longest was late 2021.

Recent research by Metropolis concluded that a conservative estimate of ‘live’ business tender opportunities on the database in recent months, exceeded £1bn of business.

If you would like some information on flexible Metropolis subscription packages, then please email Andy at andy@metroinfo.co.uk, mentioning ‘Metropolis Blog’

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Central London Office Lettings in September 2018

Central London office lettings in September 2018 reached just over 1m sq ft from 50 mid-large size office transactions (5,000 sq ft+) during the month. The September 2018 figure is at the current monthly London average of 1m sq ft.

September was characterised by 15 office deals over 20,000 sq ft, which were led by the Linkedin’s 83,000 sq ft deal to pre-let ‘The Ray’ office scheme on Farringdon Road, EC1; Beazley Insurance took 75,000 sq ft pre-let at 22 Bishopsgate, EC3 and Live Nation took a 66,000 sq ft pre-let at 34-36 St John Street, EC1.

IT related services topped the table of lettings by sector, compiled by Metropolis, underpinned by the Linkedin deal. This was followed by business services led by a number of lettings to WeWork and Orega. Insurance, professional and media were also well represented. Office deals ‘under offer’ in central London remained at 3.9m sq ft, and pending deal volumes are healthy in nearly all sub-markets, with a number of deals pending.

By area, the City accounted for 31pc of the office floorspace let in September 2018 at 310,000 sq ft. The West End saw 150,000 sq ft of take-up. Midtown contributed 450,000 sq ft of lettings. Current London office demand is calculated to be around 3.8m sq ft in the City and 3.2m sq ft in the West End.

The volume of grade A (newly built or refurbished office space) let during the month, reached a healthy 530,000 sq ft sq ft (53% of the monthly total), as transactions for new space resumed their recent strong showing. Availability is dominated by secondhand space in all London markets.

Metropolis research is currently monitoring 640 ‘live’ London requirements, with deals for space of up to 1.7m sq ft due to sign in the next few months.

Cityoffices is close to completing on its autumn ‘Skyline Survey’ in London. Further details of office scheme planning applications and consents, with scheme by scheme detail are listed on the Cityoffices.net website. Details on Metropolis and the Cityoffices database from Andy King at andy@metroinfo.co.uk

Regional Office Boost

CBRE’s recent report ‘United Kingdom Office – The Property Perspective H1 2018’ concludes that office mover activity in the regions outside London continued to be ‘lively’ during the first half of 2018

CBRE say that regional office occupier markets in the first half of 2018 with few signs of Brexit-related uncertainty. The ten regional cities monitored by CBRE, saw take-up reach nearly 3.9m sq ft, which was 24% above the five-year average and 37% higher than the 2.8m sq ft newly occupied in the same period of 2017.

CBRE saw large numbers of requirement in regional cities and say that relocation activity could have been even higher if there had not been a shortage of new office space in some cities. CBRE particularly point to shortages in Bristol, Edinburgh and Glasgow where the development pipeline has not kept pace with demand. These shortages will drive further pre-let and refurbishment activity.

Metropolis echoes the CBRE findings, with nearly 400 regional office requirement leads flagged to subscribers in the first half of 2018, together with a similar number of companies finding space for moves between January and June.

CBRE say that The UK’s flexible office space operators continued to expand, with Bristol, Birmingham, Glasgow, and the wider South East the stand out expansion locations in H1. Bristol witnessed a
notable increase in demand with a key deal to Runway East (30,000 sq ft). In Birmingham, deals were concluded with BE Group, Instant, iHub, Regus and Orega, whilst in Glasgow there were prominent deals to
Orega and Regus. In the wider South East region, flexible office space providers took nearly 200,000 sq ft with Slough and Reading the most popular locations. Runway East and other operators also have live requirements in all the regional cities, with CBRE predicting more activity from this sector in H2.

Regional cities saw a record year of take-up in 2017, with the public sector playing a large role in regional office space demand in H1 2018 (just over 0.9m sq ft). HM Revenue & Customs accounted for the three largest transactions ranging between 157,000 – 270,000 sq ft in Manchester, Glasgow and Liverpool.

CBRE forecast the West Midlands as a region to watch. They say the West Midlands is experiencing some of the fastest growth in the country – Birmingham itself seeing prices rise by 6.9% in the year to May Birmingham is attracting public sector bodies, looking for more affordable solutions away from London. The latest requirement is from the General Dental Council, relocating 200 staff London.

Central London Office Lettings in June 2018

Central London office lettings in June 2018 reached just over 1m sq ft from 58 mid-large size office transactions (5,000 sq ft+) during the month. The June 2018 figure is in line the current monthly London average of 1m sq ft.

June was characterised by 16 office deals over 20,000 sq ft, which were led by the Sony Picture’s 77,000 sq ft deal to take Brunel Building in Paddington; Trade Desk’s 54,000 sq ft pre-letting at Barts Square, EC1 and WeWork’s 49,000 sq ft at 70 Wilson Street, EC2.

Business Services topped the table of lettings by sector, underpinned by WeWork, Office Group and Foraspace deals. This was followed by professional services led by a number of lettings by sdeals to Herbert Smith and Kaplan. Financial services, technology and media were also well represented. Office deals ‘under offer’ in central London increased to 3.6m sq ft, and pending deal volumes are healthy in nearly all sub-markets, with a large number of deals pending.

By area, the City accounted for 40pc of the office floorspace let in June 2018 at 400,,000 sq ft. The West End saw 349,000 sq ft of take-up. Midtown contributed 126,000 sq ft of lettings, plus 50,000 sq ft of Docklands deals. Current London office demand is calculated to be around 3.3m sq ft in the City and 2.7m sq ft in the West End.

The volume of grade A (newly built or refurbished office space) let during the month reached 366,000 sq ft sq ft (37% of the monthly total), as transactions for new space resumed their recent strong showing. Availability is dominated by secondhand space in all London markets.

Metropolis research is currently monitoring 645 ‘live’ London requirements, with deals for space of up to 1.9m sq ft due to sign in the next few months.

Cityoffices is working on its current ‘Skyline Survey’ in London. Further details of office scheme planning applications and consents, with scheme by scheme detail are listed on the Cityoffices.net website. Details on Metropolis and the Cityoffices database from Andy King at andy@metroinfo.co.uk

London Office Lettings in May 2018

Central London office lettings in May 2018 reached over 1.3m sq ft from 45 mid-large size office transactions (5,000 sq ft+) during the month. The May 2018 figure is above the current monthly London average of 1m sq ft.

May was characterised by 14 office deals over 20,000 sq ft, which were led by the Chinesse Embassy’s deal to take Royal Mint in EC3; The Office Group’s 83,000 sq ft letting at One Canada Square, E14 and Epiris Advisers’ 59,000 sq ft at The Forum in Gutter Lane, EC2.

Public Services topped the table of lettings by sector, underpinned by Chinese Embassy deal. This was followed by business services led by a number of lettings by serviced office operators. Financial services, technology and media were also well represented. Office deals ‘under offer’ in central London increased to 3.4m sq ft, and pending deal volumes are healthy in nearly all sub-markets, with a large number of deals pending.

By area, the City accounted for 70pc of the office floorspace let in April 2018 at 912,,000 sq ft. The West End saw 209,000 sq ft of take-up. Midtown contributed 57,000 sq ft of lettings, plus 83,000 sq ft of Docklands deals. Current London office demand is calculated to be around 3.2m sq ft in the City and 2.6m sq ft in the West End.

The volume of grade A (newly built or refurbished office space) let during the month reached 1m sq ft sq ft (77% of the monthly total), as transactions for new space resumed their recent strong showing. Availability is dominated by secondhand space in all London markets.

Metropolis research is currently monitoring 640 ‘live’ London requirements, with deals for space of up to 1.8m sq ft due to sign in the next few months.

Cityoffices is working on its current ‘Skyline Survey’ in London. Further details of office scheme planning applications and consents, with scheme by scheme detail are listed on the Cityoffices.net website. Details on the report and the Cityoffices database from Andy King at andy@metroinfo.co.uk

London Office Lettings in April 2018

Central London office lettings in April 2018 reached almost 800,000 sq ft from 35 mid-large size transactions (5,000 sq ft+) during the month. The April 2018 figure is broadly in line with the current monthly average of 1m sq ft.

April was characterised by 13 office deals over 20,000 sq ft, which included Berwin Leighton Paisner’s 125,000 sq ft letting at Governor’s House, 5 Laurence Pountney Hill; St James’s Place’s 57,000 sq ft pre-letting at 30 Lombard Street, EC3 and KKR’s pre-let of 57,000 sq ft at 18 Hanover Square, W1.

Professional Services topped the table of lettings by sector, underpinned by BLP and KKR deals. This was followed by business services underpinned by a number of lettings by serviced office operators. Financial services, technology and media were also well represented. Office deals ‘under offer’ in central London increased to 3.6m sq ft, and pending deal volumes are healthy in nearly all sub-markets, with over 25 deals pending.

By area, the City accounted for 54pc of the office floorspace let in April 2018 at 433,000 sq ft. The West End saw 140,000 sq ft of take-up. Midtown contributed 80,000 sq ft of lettings, plus 45,000 sq ft of Docklands deals. Current London office demand is calculated to be around 3.3m sq ft in the City and 2.7m sq ft in the West End.

The volume of grade A (newly built or refurbished office space) let during the month reached 375,000 sq ft (47% of the monthly total), as transactions for new space resumed their recent strong showing. Availability is dominated by secondhand space in all London markets.

Metropolis research is currently monitoring 635 ‘live’ London requirements, with deals for space of up to 1.8m sq ft due to sign in the next few months.

Cityoffices is working on its current ‘Skyline Survey’ in London. Further details of office scheme planning applications and consents, with scheme by scheme detail are listed on the Cityoffices.net website. Details on the report and the Cityoffices database from Andy King at andy@metroinfo.co.uk

M25 Office Market Predictions

Knight Frank has published its Q1 2018 report on the M25 office market.

The report looks at the polarisation of the market into small moves and lettings which is pushing landlords towards the subdivision of buildings into smaller units, alongside the expected emergence of 10-12 large 100,000 sq ft requirements in 2018, many of which will come from technology companies. Knight Frank predicts that many of these searches will end in pre-letting of planned office schemes.

Metropolis is currently tracking some 30 south-east occupiers looking for 25,000 sq ft or more, with a further 20 large companies around the M25, approaching lease events over the next two years. Overall, Metropolis has reported on over 500 office moves in the South East and outer London in the last year.

Knight Frank say the South East office market has a history of occupational demand from the technology sector. In fact, the tech sector has accounted for, on average, 23% of annual office take-up over the last five years and has absorbed some 3.8 million sq ft during that period.

Similarly, occupiers drawn from other sectors have been transformed by the application of new technology to business processes, often fuelling new property requirements.

There were around 60 office deals of over 5,000 sq ft in towns around the M25 in Q1 2018. In west London financial and business services firms account for the largest proportion of take-up over 10 years, 27%. This percentage rises to 29% if considered over the past two years. Most notable is that flexible office providers have quickly gained a strong presence, taking just short of 200,000 sq ft since the beginning of 2016.

Knight Frank conclude that the M25 linked hotspots for office deals over the next year are Brighton, Croydon, Watford and Reading.