Requirements on the Rise?

Over the first two months Metropolis Property Research has noticed a small rise in the numbers of office occupiers launching new searches for office accommodation.

Some examples researched and published over the past week include:

  • An IT support firm, has told Metropolis that it is currently searching for around 200 sq m (2,200 sq ft) of office space within the South Bank area of London. The firm is planning to move from its current base in the Autumn of 2018;
  • A City of London-based energy consultancy, has told Metropolis that it has appointed an un-named property agent to advise on relocation or lease options in central London, ahead of a late 2018 lease break option. The company currently occupies 465 sq m (5,010 sq ft) of offices with about 35 staff;
  • A computer consultancy firm, has told Metropolis that it is currently searching for around 475 sq m (5,100 sq ft) of office space in the Maidenhead area. Staff advise that a move date has not been set, but that it will likely take place around Autumn 2018.;
  • An energy exploration company, has strongly hinted that it is considering launching a search for alternative London West End offices in 2018;
  • An IT consultancy firm, has told Metropolis that it is currently searching for around 220 sq m (2,400 sq ft) of office space in Bristol. A senior contact has stated that an ideal move date would be around October or November 2018;
  • A Leeds headquartered print management company, is planning to open an office in London by 2020;

Metropolis researches around 140 new office requirements each month in the UK, plus hundred of other companies pondering move decisions and agreeing lettings.

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4000 office moves for 2018-19

Metropolis has broken new records after 7,200 office business leads were published in 2017. If all the office space contained within those leads were added together the total would top 200 million sq ft.

Covering office deals agreed, companies searching for space, those with potential requirements and a small number of key speculative schemes, the 7,200 leads covered the whole UK from the tip of Cornwall to the north of Scotland. Office sizes ranged from 1,500 sq ft for 10 staff to Google’s new 800,000 sq ft London HQ.

Key points:

  • 2,700 company office moves confirmed to have completed in 2017;

 

  • 3,200 office moves are planned for 2018 and 890 office moves already planned in 2019 or later;

 

  • 3,000 companies, including 1,300 with ‘identified requirements’ expect to be making property decisions in 2018 and 2019;

 

IT and media services is the largest sector (800 leads) followed by financial services (600 leads) and professional, including large numbers of accountants and law firms (450 leads). Although the leads are spread over all UK regions, the size of the London office market, means that over 40% of the leads feature relocations, both scheduled and planned in central London. All leads include contact names, telephone numbers and 75% have email addresses, many of which are specific to the decision maker.

Metropolis remains the largest specialist provider of market intelligence led, office market business leads.

Recent research by Metropolis concluded that a conservative estimate of ‘live’ business opportunities on the database in recent months exceeded £1bn of business.

If you would like some information on flexible Metropolis subscription packages or to discuss a trial, then please email Simon at simon@metroinfo.co.uk

 

Plans for 2018

Happy New Year to all Metropolis Blog readers.

We plan to bring all subscribers another 6000+ business leads on companies searching for offices, requesting tenders and agreeing office moves in 2018. Far greater, better informed and deeper coverage than any other provider. All leads include details of contacts, timescales and company intentions. Subscriptions for nearly every budget.

For subscription details email simon@metroinfo.co.uk

£1bn up for grabs on Metropolis

With over 6,000 office movers reported on Metropolis each year, we looked at an estimate of the total expenditure on relocation costs by these companies. Metropolis  estimate the total size of the office movers market in the UK each year.

Firstly, we looked at the average size of move. Metropolis tends to concentrate on the middle and larger end of the office relocation market, the total size of all listed office moves in the last year planned and implemented was over 80 million sq ft. Making some adjustments for updates, where company plans are updated more than once in the year, we arrived at 50m sq ft of unique office moves, both completed (space found), still deciding (potential mover) and searching (identified requirement).

We calculated an average office move size during the year of just over 8,000 sq ft. We then applied this average to a number of industry cost estimates.

Office fit-out costs can range between £15-£60 psf. If we take the most conservative estimate of £15 psf over 50m sq ft, these moves could generate £750m of expenditure on fit-out. Much more per office mover in central London.

Office agent fees, conservatively estimated at 2% of annual rent. If all 25m sq ft of office moves currently planned, but yet to take place, were considered around an average of £20 psf then office agency fees offer a potential £50m.

Furniture can also be a lucrative area for suppliers. Assuming 300,000 staff will move or be moving in the future, as part of these 6,000 office moves, if half of the companies spent a modest £500 on each employee for desk and chair this would total £75m. Of course this would be supplemented by additional furniture and some much higher expenditure at blue chip companies.

Removals can cost upwards of £10,000 for a small office and 40-50 staff. So conservatively, assuming some companies do not move, some expand into adjacent space and some move themselves, say £70m of business a year.

Cabling and IT upgrades can also provide opportunities for suppliers. Leaving aside the booming fintech sector, every company needs ever more sophisticated IT systems. With over 50m sq ft of unique moves this market can easily exceed £100m.

Other professional fees for dilapidations, consultancy and disposal costs can also provide opportunities, but these can be difficult to generalise.

In conclusion, on the most conservative estimates the potential business being signposted on metropolis is well over £1bn per year. Probably in reality over £2bn if less conservative assumptions are made.

Sources: Cushman & Wakefield Occupier Fit Out Cost Guide; http://www.getamover.co.uk; Morgan Lovell Office Relocation Checklist; Savills; Metropolis; 

Metropolis Launches New Website

We have a new website!

Please visit us at http://metropolisleads.uk

 

Cardiff on the Rise & Merry Christmas

A recent report from property consultant Savills highlighted the upsurge in office demand in Cardiff and forecast that rents would reach £25 per sq ft in 2016.

The report concluded that total take-up at the end of Q3 stood at nearly 300,000 sq ft (27,860 sq m) and with the last two months registering significant prelets, including the 150,000 sq ft letting at Central Square to the BBC and Public Health Wales pre-letting 4,645 sq m (50,000 sq ft) of new offices on four floors at the under construction 2 Cathedral Quarter; the annual take-up total will reach 600,000 sq ft a 10% increase on 2014 and 20% up on the ten year average.

Earlier in the year, Cardiff saw major moves from Baccalaureate Organisation taking 48,500 sq ft and SSE taking 46,851
at Cardiff Gate Business Park.

Savills predict that One Central Square and 2 Capital Quarter buildings, could be fully let by early 2016. Therefore the main schemes in the pipeline are refurbishments including 50,900sq ft at St Patricks House, 35,000 sq ft at 2 Kingsway and 16,953 sq ft at Haywood House North on Dumfries Place,.

Metropolis is tracking over a dozen medium or large companies searching for office space in Cardiff.

Merry Christmas and a Happy New Year to all Metropolis blog readers from all the staff at Metropolis.

Metropolis Office Requirements – H1

Over 450 companies vie for London space

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Metropolis research identified over 17m sq ft of UK office demand in the first half of 2015. Just over 9.2m sq ft of this demand was for office space in Greater London, with over 450 companies searching for London space. In the rest of the UK Metropolis uncovered 400 requirements for new space representing 8.1m sq ft of office demand.

Central London office demand reached 8m sq ft, 3.8m sq ft (47.5%) of which was focused on the City of London. EC2 was the most popular postcode for companies planning a move,  with 1.4m sq ft of demand emerging in H1.

A significant proportion of total City of London demand (11%) came from two new law firm requirements, each firm looking for 200,000 sq ft. A new 150,000 sq ft requirement from an insurance group was also worthy of note. Demand from the banking and finance sector reached 1m sq ft, 26% of total City of London demand.

Demand for space in the West End, where rents can reach £125 psf, hit 1.8m sq ft. The largest West End requirement (150,000 sq ft) came from a social media group looking for offices in SW1. Just over 400,000 sq ft of office space (26% of total demand) was required by the banking & finance sector, 79% of which (315,000 sq ft) came from hedge funds and private investment firms.

Mid Town office demand reached 0.9m sq ft, pretty evenly split between WC1 and WC2. About 100,000 sq ft of Mid Town demand came from the technology sector and 90,000 sq ft from the media sector. Demand from law firms was just over 120,000 sq ft and demand from the banking and finance sector totalled 110,000 sq ft.

The largest office requirement in the South Bank (SE1) was a 140,000 sq ft search by an engineering and construction firm. Other requirements of note include a US insurance firm switching a 60,000 sq ft search from Maidenhead to London SE1, and a TV Broadcaster looking for 30,000 sq ft to house its news department.

Two big requirements dominated demand for office space in the Docklands: a German investment bank back office requirement for 350,000 sq ft and an information company requirement for 300,000 sq ft, with a sub-let mooted.

 

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The Top 5 Regional Cities

Manchester – The largest requirement, 400,000 sq ft, was a search by a government department considering space near Piccadilly Station in Manchester. Just over 250,000 sq ft of Manchester office demand came from the legal sector and 300,000 sq ft of demand was attributed to the insurance sector.

Edinburgh – Similar to the picture in Manchester, Edinburgh demand was dominated by a large government requirement for office space (300,000 sq ft), although this requirement could move to Glasgow. In terms of private sector demand, notable requirements included a 100,000 sq ft search by a US Bank and two significant searches from law firms seeking a move in central Edinburgh, one for 50,000 sq ft and the other 30,000 sq ft. There was also significant demand from the accountancy sector, with four firms searching for just over 130,000 sq ft.

Birmingham – A retail bank was linked with the largest office requirement in Birmingham: 170,000 sq ft,  a search now satisfied by space at Miller Developments Arena Central scheme.  Other significant requirements include a potential 100,000 sq ft search from a law firm and a 50,000 sq ft search from a business education group.

Reading – The largest requirement for Reading offices came from a network broadcaster looking for 150,000 sq ft, closely followed by a utility company searching for 140,000 sq ft. Both requirements also consider other Thames valley locations such as Bracknell, Farnborough and Slough.

Bristol – Bristol office demand was dominated by insurance company requirements, with the sector accounting for 56% of total demand (280,000 sq ft). Other notable requirements include an 80,000 sq ft search from a Bristol based law firm planning to combine two of its offices (which may now be a refurbishment and extension of the existing building) and an engineering group searching for 25,000 sq ft.

 

Top Ten Cities (Excluding London) by H1 Office Demand

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Copyright Metropolis Property Research Ltd 2015