Cambridge Office Market

Savills has just published its September 2018 report on the Cambridge office market.

Savills say that the majority of take-up in Cambridge, whether for offices and/or laboratories, has occurred in the city centre (Zone 1) around the central station and Hills Road. This area has accounted for 38% of take-up by square footage up to summer 2018.

Available offices total 100,000 sq. ft. of existing stock in this area currently. At current levels of demand Cambridge has less than one years’ supply. The city centre market has around 156,000 sq. ft. under construction, of which 30,372 sq. ft. is pre-let. Developer confidence is growing outside of the city centre. St Johns College and Turnstone recently completed the 65,000 sq ft Maurice Wilkes Building at St John’s Innovation Park which was let to seven occupiers prior to practical completion. Biomed Realty is speculatively developing 108,000 sq. ft. of laboratory space at Babraham Research Park across two new buildings and Churchmanor Estates are speculatively developing 40,000 sq ft. In addition the Howard Group are to speculatively construct over 60,000 sq ft of office/R&D space at Pampisford. Savills expect record rents to be achieved in the city centre at 50 & 60 Station Road.

Astra Zeneca is soon to complete its new campus of 850,000 sq ft. Samsung has recently committed to opening a new AI research hub in Cambridge. Microsoft also have a research base covering AI at 21 Station Road.  Darktrace is moving to The Maurice Wilkes’ Building at St John’s Innovation Park. Amazon took 72,289 sq ft at One Station Square, CB1, while Astex Pharmaceuticals took 42,688 sq ft at Cambridge Science Park. Also at Cambridge Science Park, in Q1, Huawei acquired 11,500 sq ft at Building 101 for £29.50 psf. Savills is also aware of 100,000 sq. ft. of requirements from serviced office operators and envisage stronger demand from this sector in the future.

Metropolis is tracking around 40 Cambridge office moves and requirements.

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Central London office lettings in August 2018

Central London office lettings in August 2018 reached just over 750,000 sq ft from 40 mid-large size office transactions (5,000 sq ft+) during the month. The August 2018 figure is below the current monthly London average of 1m sq ft.

August was characterised by 9 office deals over 20,000 sq ft, which were led by the Investec’s 123,000 sq ft deal to pre-let 55 Gresham Street, EC2, N1; Competition and Markets Authority 105,000 sq ft deal at 25 Cabot Square, E14 and Hiscox’s 75,000 sq ft pre-let at 22 Bishopsgate, EC2.

Financial services topped the table of lettings by sector, compiled by Metropolis, underpinned by the Investec deal. This was followed by business services led by a number of lettings to Office Space in Town and LEO. Insurance, professional and media were also well represented. Office deals ‘under offer’ in central London increased to 3.9m sq ft, and pending deal volumes are healthy in nearly all sub-markets, with a number of deals pending.

By area, the City accounted for 47pc of the office floorspace let in August 2018 at 354,000 sq ft. The West End saw 150,000 sq ft of take-up. Midtown contributed 69,000 sq ft of lettings. Current London office demand is calculated to be around 3.7m sq ft in the City and 3.2m sq ft in the West End.

The volume of grade A (newly built or refurbished office space) let during the month reached 413,000 sq ft sq ft (55% of the monthly total), as transactions for new space resumed their recent strong showing. Availability is dominated by secondhand space in all London markets.

Metropolis research is currently monitoring 645 ‘live’ London requirements, with deals for space of up to 1.8m sq ft due to sign in the next few months.

Cityoffices is working on its autumn ‘Skyline Survey’ in London. Further details of office scheme planning applications and consents, with scheme by scheme detail are listed on the Cityoffices.net website. Details on Metropolis and the Cityoffices database from Andy King at andy@metroinfo.co.uk

Metropolis Office Mover Leads in June 2018

Metropolis ran 562 business leads on ‘office movers’ in June 2018. If all reported moves were added together the total would exceed 14 million sq ft of office searches and transactions, researched by Metropolis’ unique market-led intelligence research team, last month.

London was the largest region with 240 business leads during month, but there were also strong showings from the South East (60),  Scotland (51) North West (43) and Yorkshire (35) . Business services and financials services were the largest business sectors planning relocations or agreeing moves during the month.

The relocation leads covered the whole UK and provided details of the size of the office occupier, company likely move dates, a description of the reasons for the move, its business sector and full contact details including an address for written inquiries, at least one telephone number and in most cases an email address. Some of the largest planned moves and top picks amongst the 562 June leads, included those on occupiers Amazon, British Airways, Barclays, Scottish Office and WeWork.

The June 2018 leads included 171 ‘identified requirements’, including 84 in London. Which means that the company confirmed to researchers that it has current or future plans to search for alternative office space. Of these 171 searches, 100 were newly posted office searches, not previously notified to clients.

The most recent research also included 160 ‘potential movers’ which were mainly longer-term leads on occupiers, considering a relocation, but the occupier has yet to make a final decision on whether to search.

Most of the remaining stories covered companies that have just signed for new office space and have set a move date, including some large pre-lets and companies inviting tenders for fit-out contracts. The shortest planned move date is just over a month away, whilst the longest was late 2020.

Recent research by Metropolis concluded that a conservative estimate of ‘live’ business tender opportunities on the database in recent months, exceeded £1bn of business.

If you would like some information on flexible Metropolis subscription packages, then please email Andy at andy@metroinfo.co.uk, mentioning ‘Metropolis Blog’

M25 Office Market Predictions

Knight Frank has published its Q1 2018 report on the M25 office market.

The report looks at the polarisation of the market into small moves and lettings which is pushing landlords towards the subdivision of buildings into smaller units, alongside the expected emergence of 10-12 large 100,000 sq ft requirements in 2018, many of which will come from technology companies. Knight Frank predicts that many of these searches will end in pre-letting of planned office schemes.

Metropolis is currently tracking some 30 south-east occupiers looking for 25,000 sq ft or more, with a further 20 large companies around the M25, approaching lease events over the next two years. Overall, Metropolis has reported on over 500 office moves in the South East and outer London in the last year.

Knight Frank say the South East office market has a history of occupational demand from the technology sector. In fact, the tech sector has accounted for, on average, 23% of annual office take-up over the last five years and has absorbed some 3.8 million sq ft during that period.

Similarly, occupiers drawn from other sectors have been transformed by the application of new technology to business processes, often fuelling new property requirements.

There were around 60 office deals of over 5,000 sq ft in towns around the M25 in Q1 2018. In west London financial and business services firms account for the largest proportion of take-up over 10 years, 27%. This percentage rises to 29% if considered over the past two years. Most notable is that flexible office providers have quickly gained a strong presence, taking just short of 200,000 sq ft since the beginning of 2016.

Knight Frank conclude that the M25 linked hotspots for office deals over the next year are Brighton, Croydon, Watford and Reading.

London Office Lettings in March 2018

Central London office lettings in March 2018 reached almost 1.02m sq ft of deals from 63 mid-large size transactions (5,000 sq ft+) during the month. The March 2018 figure is in line with the current monthly average of 1m sq ft and Q1 lettings reached just over 3m sq ft.

March was characterised by 11 office deals over 20,000 sq ft, which included CBRE’s 78,000 sq ft letting at 61 Southwark Street, SE1; Charles Taylor’s 66,000 sq ft pre-letting at 3 Minster Court, EC3 and SNC Lavelin/WS Atkins took 65,000 sq ft at Nova North, SW1.

Professional Services topped the table of lettings by sector, underpinned by CBRE and Paul Hastings deals. This was followed by insurance services mainly underpinned by Charles Taylor’s pre-let and another deal to Argo. Office deals ‘under offer’ in central London remained at 3.5m sq ft, but pending deal volumes are healthy in nearly all sub-markets, with over 30 deals pending.

By area, the City accounted for 40pc of the office floorspace let in March 2018 at 400,000 sq ft. The West End saw 290,000 sq ft of take-up. Midtown contributed 93,000 sq ft of lettings, plus 84,000 sq ft of Docklands deals. Current London office demand is calculated to be around 3.1m sq ft in the City and 2.8m sq ft in the West End.

The volume of grade A (newly built or refurbished office space) let during the month reached 624,000 sq ft (62% of the monthly total), as transactions for new space resumed their recent strong showing. Availability is dominated by secondhand space in all London markets.

Metropolis research is currently monitoring 645 ‘live’ London requirements, with deals for space of up to 1.9m sq ft due to sign in the next few months.

Cityoffices is working on its current ‘Skyline Survey’ in London. Further details of office scheme planning applications and consents, with scheme by scheme detail are listed on the Cityoffices.net website. Details on the report and the Cityoffices database from Andy King at andy@metroinfo.co.uk

Bristol Office Demand

A recent report from Savills concluded that Bristol experienced a solid year for office market demand in 2017 with 611,000 sq ft of office space taken, 6% above the long term annual average. 57% of take up was signed for during the second half of 2017.

This was driven by Dyson taking 29,000 sq ft with University of Bristol’s letting 27,000 sq ft at 1 Cathedral Square.
The report identifies the recent Simmons & Simmons signing for 27,000 sq ft at Aurora, Finzels Reach as a key move. The 95,000 sq ft speculative Finzels Reach scheme is now 40% pre-let with competition for space intensifying among tenants for the remaining floors.

Bristol’s TMT (Technology, Media and Telecoms) sector took 134,000 sq ft of the office space taken last year, 22% of the city centre total. Savills highlight that 28 of the 30 deals were on floor sizes below 10,000 sq ft, indicating the depth of demand within the sector.

Take up in Bristol’s out of town market reached 425,000 sq ft, 34% above the 10 year average. This was largely driven by Babcock signing for 86,000 sq ft at 100 Bristol Business Park during the final quarter.

Office requirements remain robust in the Bristol market, and Savills expect take up to again reach circa 600,000 sq ft during 2018, 10% above the 10 year annual average.

Metropolis is tracking around 30 tenants with office requirements for Bristol, with a further 50 companies approaching decisions on whether to search.

Requirements on the Rise?

Over the first two months Metropolis Property Research has noticed a small rise in the numbers of office occupiers launching new searches for office accommodation.

Some examples researched and published over the past week include:

  • An IT support firm, has told Metropolis that it is currently searching for around 200 sq m (2,200 sq ft) of office space within the South Bank area of London. The firm is planning to move from its current base in the Autumn of 2018;
  • A City of London-based energy consultancy, has told Metropolis that it has appointed an un-named property agent to advise on relocation or lease options in central London, ahead of a late 2018 lease break option. The company currently occupies 465 sq m (5,010 sq ft) of offices with about 35 staff;
  • A computer consultancy firm, has told Metropolis that it is currently searching for around 475 sq m (5,100 sq ft) of office space in the Maidenhead area. Staff advise that a move date has not been set, but that it will likely take place around Autumn 2018.;
  • An energy exploration company, has strongly hinted that it is considering launching a search for alternative London West End offices in 2018;
  • An IT consultancy firm, has told Metropolis that it is currently searching for around 220 sq m (2,400 sq ft) of office space in Bristol. A senior contact has stated that an ideal move date would be around October or November 2018;
  • A Leeds headquartered print management company, is planning to open an office in London by 2020;

Metropolis researches around 140 new office requirements each month in the UK, plus hundred of other companies pondering move decisions and agreeing lettings.