Pre-letting offices in London

The London office market has seen 42 medium/large pre-lets of office space so far in 2019, totalling 2.5m sq ft, which represents a 20% rise on 2018. With one month to go the 42 pre-lets matches the record from any of the previous ten years. Central London occupiers launching searches further in advance of their planned lease expiries than ever before. Pre-letting has gradually risen in importance and is now accounting for around 25% of London office space being transacted.

Cushman and Wakefield say that pre-letting has historically been an important part of the Central London office market, accounting for 23% of total transactions over 5,000 sq ft between 2009 and 2018. Some 24.4 million sq ft was pre-let across 267 pre-let transactions completed during this period. On average, there were 27 pre-lets each year. The pre-let market will play an increasingly important role in the London office market over the next five years.

Pre-letting has traditionally been more prevalent in the City and City fringe of London than in the West End, with 148 pre-lets and 119 pre-lets, respectively. The average duration between exchange and practical completion was 13 months. Pre-lets for buildings which were under construction, the average duration between exchange
and completion was 9 months.

Many pre-lets tend to involve large-scale occupiers with examples in 2019 including 300,000 sq ft to BT at 1 Braham Street, E1 and 360,000 sq ft to EBRD at Bank Street, E14. This trend has historically been driven by the financial services sector (such as EBRD) taking large pre-lets in the City Core and Canary Wharf. But in the last ten years the most active sector for pre-lets has been the media & technology sector (eg BT in 2019). Followed by banking & financial companies and public & government sector.

Large transactions from several new London market entrants have boosted pre-let volumes in recent years including Apple’s acquisition at Battersea Power Station (475,000 sq ft), Dentsu Aegis’ 312,000 sq ft pre-let at 1 Triton Square and Facebook’s recent signing at King’s Cross (600,000 sq ft).

Last year pre-lets to finance sector companies such as Deutsche Bank at 21 Moorfields (469,000 sq ft), SMBC’s acquisition at 100 Liverpool Street (161,000 sq ft) and TP ICAP’s acquisition of 135 Bishopsgate (122,000 sq ft) dominated the league table.

The City Core has seen the largest volume and the highest total number of pre-let transactions such as Brewin Dolphin and Smith & Williamson, but King’s Cross is becoming a close competitor with virtually all the new office stock pre-let in recent years (Sony Music pre-let 130,000 sq ft this year). In addition, West End submarkets such as White City, Battersea and Nine Elms have attracted pre-lets of a large part of their total stock levels. Stratford has also seen a high level of pre-let activity.

C&W estimate that the total potential size of the development pipeline over the next 5 years is 35 million sq ft, with 10m sq ft already either pre-let or under offer. The prospect is that shortages of completed speculative space could make pre-lets even more popular and a large number of companies are currently at an early stage in London large move searches.

Paul Ives, November 2019

 

Central London Office Market May 2019

Central London office lettings in May 2019 reached 1.3 million sq ft, from 40 mid-large size office transactions (5,000 sq ft+) during the month. The May 2019 deals volume figure is well above the current monthly London average of 1m sq ft.

May was characterised by 14 office deals over 20,000 sq ft, which were led by EBRD’s 365,000 pre-let at 1-5 Bank Street, E14; along with the letting of the refurbished 25 Cannon Street to Brewin Dolphin; WeWork at Film House, Soho, W1; Parliamentary Estates taking space at 64 Victoria Street, SW1, plus Quilter at Senator House in EC4 .

Financial Services topped the table of lettings by sector, compiled by Metropolis, underpinned by the EBRD pre-let and Brewin Dolphin’s new City of London HQ. This was followed by business services led by WeWork and Signature (Regus) deals. Public services, led by Parliamentary Estates and professional services with Cadwalader and Comply were also well represented.

Office deals ‘under offer’ in central London stood at 3m sq ft, and pending deal volumes are healthy in nearly all sub-markets, with a number of deals in solicitor’s hands.

By area, the City accounted for 34% of the office floorspace let in May 2019 at 437,000 sq ft. The West End saw 350,000 sq ft of take-up. Docklands 365,000 sq ft, Midtown contributed 109,000 sq ft of lettings and Southbank 21,000 sq ft. Current London office demand is calculated to be around 3.7m sq ft in the City and 3m sq ft in the West End.

The volume of grade A (newly built or refurbished office space) let during the month, reached a healthy 960,000 sq ft sq ft (74% of the monthly total), as transactions for new space maintained the recent strong showing. Availability is dominated by secondhand space in all London markets.

Metropolis research is currently monitoring 625 ‘live’ London office requirements, including a large volume of requirements from the banking and finance sectors, with pending deals for space of up to 1.5m sq ft due to sign in the next few months.

Central London Lettings and Pre-lets – October 2017

Central London office lettings in October 2017 reached a healthy 1.3m sq ft of deals from 60 mid-large size transactions (5,000 sq ft+) during the month. The October figure exceeds the current monthly average of just under 1m sq ft .

October was characterised by 14 office deals over 20,000 sq ft, which included Dentsu Aegis’ 310,000 sq ft pre-let at 1 Triton Square, NW1, Sidley & Austin’s 120,000 sq ft pre-let at 70 St Mary Axe, EC3; WeWork took 107,000 sq ft at One Poultry, EC3, and Red Bull took 37,000 sq ft at Seven Dials, WC2.

Media topped the table of lettings by sector, underpinned by the Dentsu Aegis deal. This was followed by professional services with the large deals involving Sidley Austin and Grant Thornton.  Business services also performed well, helped by the lettings to WeWork and Orega. Office deals ‘under offer’ in central London fell slightly to 3.5m sq ft and pending deal volumes are healthy in nearly all sub-markets.

By area, the City accounted for 32pc of the office floorspace let in October at 414,000 sq ft. The West End saw 553,000 sq ft of take-up, underpinned by Dentsu Aegis. Midtown contributed 147,000 sq ft of lettings. Current London office demand is calculated to be around 3.2m sq ft in the City and 2.9m sq ft in the West End.

The volume of grade A (newly built or refurbished office space) let during the month reached 718,000 sq ft (55% of the monthly total), as transactions for new space resumed their recent strong showing.

Metropolis research is currently monitoring 630 ‘live’ London requirements, with deals for space of up to 1.8m sq ft due to sign in the next few months.

Cityoffices and Metropolis  has produced its latest London Skyline report for Q4 2017. The report contains details of new office schemes under construction, demolitions underway and projections for future construction. Further details of planning applications and consents, with scheme by scheme detail are listed on the Cityoffices.net website. Details on the report and Cityoffices from Andy King at andy@metroinfo.co.uk

Manchester Office Market Summer 2016

Lambert Smith Hampton has just published its Q2 summary of the Manchester office market.

Manchester city centre office take-up for Q2 2016 reached 218,400 sq ft bringing the total for the first half of the year to 416,110 sq ft. LSH say that a number of large scale transactions are expected to complete in the second half of the year, which could lead to a year end total of 1m sq ft, close to the 5 year average.

Recent transactions included 11,000 sq ft to Mazars at One St Peter’s Square, 33,000 sq ft to the Co-op Bank at Martins House and 16,000 sq ft to Ericsson at MediaCity.

Recent Manchester pre-lets have included:

1 Spinningfields: PWC – 49,400 sq ft
Two St Peters Square: EY – 41,630 sq ft
XYZ: Global Radio – 16,670 sq ft
XYZ: Shoosmiths – 32,000 sq ft
XYZ: NCC Group – 60,000 sq ft

Swinton Insurance is under offer on 160,000 sq ft at 101 Embankment, Freshfields are due to complete imminently on 80,000 sq ft at New Bailey, DWP have a 80,000 sq ft Manchester requirement and PwC are being linked to taking further space at 1 Spinningfields.  There has growth in demand for companies looking to move operations (called northshoring) from London, for example law firm Freshfields, as well as Lonza and Escada opening new city centre operations.

Metropolis is also monitoring over 60 named Manchester office requirements from a wide variety of companies such as the likes of AJ Bell and Weinberger, as well as over 100 approaching lease expiries in late 2016 and 2017.

There is just over 1m sq ft of new office space under construction in Manchester, including schemes such as English Cities Fund’s 190,000 sq ft Two New Bailey and Ask Real Estate’s 164,000 sq ft 100 The Embankment.

 

London 2015 take-up tops 12m sq ft..Again

The results are in on central London office take-up in 2015.

Total transactions over 5,000 sq ft in the year amounted to 12.2m sq ft researched by Metropolis, a similar figure to 2014. The lettings breakdown included nearly 6m sq ft in the City; 1.2m sq ft in Docklands; Midtown 2.2m sq ft; West End 2.7m sq ft; Southbank 0.3m sq ft.

By office grade, a substantial 5.9m sq ft of the 12.2m sq ft was grade A, ie newly built or recently refurbished space. Some of the larger examples of grade A lettings included a flurry of deals at the Straford Quarter, Aldgate Tower, Leadenhall Tower, Alphabeta Building, Park House in Oxford Street and 58 Victoria Embankment. The highest rent recorded was nearly £100psf in a recently completed Mayfair scheme. Although the year saw more than 20 substantial pre-lets, the majority of grade A lettings came after the building completion. Developers seem to be benefitting from the ‘build it and they will come’ philosophy.

The most active sectors in 2015 are set out below. All figues in million sq ft.

Financial 3.2
TMT 2.5
Business Services 1.8
Professional 1.6
Insurance 0.4

Although financial services heads the list with 3.2m sq ft of deals, boosted by large pre-lettings to Deutsche Bank and Royal Bank of Canada, it was closely followed by TMT (technology, media and telecom). Large deals included Google, Facebook, Universal Music and Hewlett Packard. Also showing strongly are business services (WeWork took over 500,000 sq ft) in the year and professional services was boosted by big pre-lets to ashurst Morris Crisp and Deloitte.

Looking ahead to 2016, a similar year is in prospect. Some 7m sq ft of un-let speculative office space is under construction in central London, with a further 8m sq ft at demolition stage, according to Cityoffices.net. There are office requirements totaling around 10m sq ft for the City, Midtown, West End, Docklands and Southbank, plus a further large tranche of companies making decisions on future lease expiries. Based on current trends upto 6m sq ft of demand could go to under construction or newly refurbished space with a similar volume of secondhand space lettings. So another 12m sq ft of deals in 2016 is likely.

Metropolis London Skyline Survey

Metropolis has walked the streets of central London to compile its twice yearly skyline survey into the state of office development in the capital in 2015. The full report is available to clients, but the main conclusions were:

  • Office construction is on an upward path with 74 office schemes under construction in central London (72 a year ago) totaling an increased 9.5m sq ft (8m sq ft in October 2014).
  • In the last six months there have been 32 new office scheme starts in central London, totaling 4.1m sq ft
  • The proportion of refurbishments in the office construction market in central London has slipped to a 25:75 split by floorspace ratio of refurbishments:new-build.
  • The City dominates construction with 4m sq ft of new office space in schemes underway.
  • Work has started on 14 new West End schemes in the last six months, as part of a modest rise in construction activity in the West End to 34 schemes under construction.
  • Some 3m sq ft of the 9.5m sq ft office space under construction has already been pre-let.
  • More than 30 future schemes are currently at site preparation stage with nearly 5m sq ft of additional office space due to go under construction in the next 6 months.
  • Just over 3m sq ft of offices was completed in central London over the last six months, however a large proportion of the space was let either prior to completion or just after.
  • In total, less than 1m sq ft of offices are still available in the 27 London schemes and 3m sq ft of offices completed in Q4 2014 and Q1 2015. Some 32 different tenants have already signed up for space.
  • There are currently 1.6m sq ft of offices due for completion in Q2 and Q3 2015, of which only 400,000 sq ft has so far been pre-let.
  • Total office development underway in central London should break through the 10m sq ft ceiling in summer 2015.
  • Drops in availability are forecast to trigger a new wave of fast-track refurbishments.

Central London Office Lettings 2014

Sharddong

Best Year For Deals Since 2007

Metropolis has recently published its latest client newsletter, this month a special report on central London office lettings in 2014. Highlights include:

– Central London deals hit 12.8m sq ft, up 5% on 2013 take-up
– 14 deals were over 100,000 sq ft
– Metropolis is tracking over 700 central London office requirements
– Just over 2m sq ft currently under offer

The newsletter was provided exclusively to Metropolis clients. If you are interested in finding out how Metropolis could help your company win new business please visit us at http://www.metroinfo.co.uk.