Central London Lettings and Pre-lets – October 2017

Central London office lettings in October 2017 reached a healthy 1.3m sq ft of deals from 60 mid-large size transactions (5,000 sq ft+) during the month. The October figure exceeds the current monthly average of just under 1m sq ft .

October was characterised by 14 office deals over 20,000 sq ft, which included Dentsu Aegis’ 310,000 sq ft pre-let at 1 Triton Square, NW1, Sidley & Austin’s 120,000 sq ft pre-let at 70 St Mary Axe, EC3; WeWork took 107,000 sq ft at One Poultry, EC3, and Red Bull took 37,000 sq ft at Seven Dials, WC2.

Media topped the table of lettings by sector, underpinned by the Dentsu Aegis deal. This was followed by professional services with the large deals involving Sidley Austin and Grant Thornton.  Business services also performed well, helped by the lettings to WeWork and Orega. Office deals ‘under offer’ in central London fell slightly to 3.5m sq ft and pending deal volumes are healthy in nearly all sub-markets.

By area, the City accounted for 32pc of the office floorspace let in October at 414,000 sq ft. The West End saw 553,000 sq ft of take-up, underpinned by Dentsu Aegis. Midtown contributed 147,000 sq ft of lettings. Current London office demand is calculated to be around 3.2m sq ft in the City and 2.9m sq ft in the West End.

The volume of grade A (newly built or refurbished office space) let during the month reached 718,000 sq ft (55% of the monthly total), as transactions for new space resumed their recent strong showing.

Metropolis research is currently monitoring 630 ‘live’ London requirements, with deals for space of up to 1.8m sq ft due to sign in the next few months.

Cityoffices and Metropolis  has produced its latest London Skyline report for Q4 2017. The report contains details of new office schemes under construction, demolitions underway and projections for future construction. Further details of planning applications and consents, with scheme by scheme detail are listed on the Cityoffices.net website. Details on the report and Cityoffices from Andy King at andy@metroinfo.co.uk

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Metropolis Office Movers October 2017

Metropolis ran 548 business leads on ‘office movers’ in the month of October 2017. If all reported moves were added together the total would exceed 8 million sq ft of office searches and transactions, researched by Metropolis’ unique market led intelligence research team. London was the largest region with 251 leads during month, but there were also strong showings from the South East (60), North West (40) and Scotland (36). IT services, professional and financial were the largest business sectors planning relocations or agreeing moves during the month.

The business leads covered the whole UK and provided details of the size of the office occupier, its likely move dates, a description of the reasons for the move, its business sector and full contact details including an address for written inquiries, at least one telephone number and in most cases an email address. Some of the largest planned moves and top picks amongst the 548 October leads, included those on Dentsu Aegis, Sumitomo Mitsui Bank, WeWork, Royal London Insurance and Dyson.

The October 2017 leads included 165 ‘identified requirements’. Which means that the company confirmed to researchers that it has current or future plans to search for alternative office space. Of these 165 searches, 100 were new office searches, not previously notified to clients.

The most recent research also included 150 ‘potential movers’ which were mainly longer-term leads on occupiers, considering a relocation, but the occupier has yet to make a final decision on whether to search.

Most of the remaining stories covered companies that have signed for new office space and have set a move date, including some large pre-lets and companies inviting tenders for fit-out contracts. The shortest planned move date is just over a month away, whilst the longest was late 2020.

Recent research by Metropolis concluded that a conservative estimate of ‘live’ business opportunities on the database in recent months exceeded £1bn of business.

If you would like some information on flexible Metropolis subscription packages, then please email Simon at simon@metroinfo.co.uk

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Cityoffices.net, the sister property leads service to Metropolis, is about to publish its ‘Autumn 2017’ survey on the office construction market in central London, with details of new schemes starting, the dozens of schemes at preparation stage and 200 office schemes in the pipeline for construction starts in 2017-2020.

For more information on Cityoffices, email Andy at andy@metroinfo.co.uk

New Lease Research from Metropolis

The London office market has maintained steady office letting take-up during 2017. The latest figures calculated by Metropolis to the end of Q3 2017 reveal office transactions totaling 8.8m sq ft for the first nine months of the year (deals 5,000 sq ft and above). Based on these figures and a number of large office moves under offer, 12m sq ft take up by the end of the year is not out of the question. If 12m sq ft is achieved this would surpass the 11m sq ft of 2016 and match the total for 2015.

The table below breaks down take-up in London in 2017 by the five largest sectors

Sector                             % of take-up
Financial                          20%
Business Services           19%
IT/Computer                   15%
Professional                     12%
Media                                11%

Financial services leads the way, boosted by the large pre-let in the City to Deutsche Bank. Business services comes a close second helped by over 900,000 sq ft of lettings to serviced office operator WeWork. IT has been driven by large expansions by Expedia, Amazon and Spotify. By area, the City has taken around 40% of take-up, with West End, Midtown and Southbank broadly taking 15% each. Docklands has had  a very quiet 2017.

Metropolis has recorded 96 deals for London office space of 20,000 sq ft or more in so far 2017 amounting to 5m sq ft. Business services, underpinned by WeWork deals, takes over 1.2m sq ft of that, followed by 880,000 sq ft of financial sector driven by Deutsche Bank, 600,000 sq ft of IT industry deals and nearly 500,000 sq ft from professional companies (law firms, accountants, consultants). a further 2m sq ft of deals are ‘under offer’ and close to signing in Q4 2017.

Recently some office market analysts have advanced the view that the London office market for moves under 20,000 sq ft is ‘patchy’. So Metropolis went back to all the potential office occupiers contacted in 2016, approaching 2017 lease expiries, to trace what happened next.

Taking a sample from the 700 London-based occupiers contacted during 2016, Metropolis found that, despite the fact that many were simultaneously negotiating with the landlord of the existing office, over 70% of occupiers decided to move, prior to the upcoming lease expiry. The sector with the strongest propensity to move was media and the least likely to move was business services. The larger a company, the slightly higher propensity to move. West End companies were slightly more likely to move than City-based ones.

The last nine months has seen a strong pace of office space pre-lets set by incoming tenants in advance of construction completion. In total, some 4.3m sq ft of London office space, that is currently under construction, has been pre-let. Some of the high profile recent pre-lets included Boston Consulting, Metro Bank taking 67,000 sq ft of offices at 20 Old Bailey, EC4; Boston Consulting and Arup at 80 Charlotte Street, W1; HSBC taking 30,000 at Cork Street, W1 and Kings College at Roman Wall House, EC3.

The most common trigger for pre-let relocation is expansion. Nearly 50% of the space completed over the previous 6 months has now been let and includes big lettings to likes of Universal Music, Cancer Research, XTX Markets, British Council, Cleary Gottlieb, Schroders and Moneysupermarket.

Looking ahead, our research with thousands of London office tenants suggests a robust level of take-up in Q4 2017, although the increasing attractions of serviced office space and Brexit uncertainty could have an impact in the medium term.

New Movers in September

Metropolis ran 603 business leads on ‘office movers’ in the month of September 2017. If all reported moves were added together the total would exceed 13 million sq ft of office searches and transactions, researched by Metropolis’ unique market led intelligence research team. London was the largest region with 290 leads during month, but there were also strong showings from Yorkshire (60), the South East (50), North West (40) and Scotland (40). IT services, professional and financial were the largest business sectors planning relocations or agreeing moves during the month.

The business leads covered the whole UK and provided details of the size of the office occupier, its likely move dates, a description of the reasons for the move, its business sector and full contact details including an address for written inquiries, at least one telephone number and in most cases an email address. Some of the largest planned moves and top picks amongst the 603 September leads, included those on HMRC, ITV, HSBC and UCB Pharma.

The September 2017 leads included 200 ‘identified requirements’. Which means that the company confirmed to researchers that it has current or future plans to search for alternative office space. Of these 200 searches, 110 were new office searches, not previously notified to clients.

The most recent research also included 168 ‘potential movers’ which were mainly longer-term leads on occupiers, considering a relocation, but the occupier has yet to make a final decision on whether to search.

Most of the remaining stories covered companies that have signed for new office space and have set a move date, including some large pre-lets and companies inviting tenders for fit-out contracts. The shortest planned move date is just over a month away, whilst the longest was late 2020.

Recent research by Metropolis concluded that a conservative estimate of ‘live’ business opportunities on the database exceeded £1bn of business.

If you would like some information on flexible Metropolis subscription packages, then please email Simon at simon@metroinfo.co.uk

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Cityoffices.net, the sister property leads service to Metropolis, saw a further 28 stories posted in September, covering new development opportunities planning applications, consents, construction starts and development teams in London and major cities. The database now covers over 200 office schemes in the pipeline for construction starts in 2017-2020.

For more information on Cityoffices, email Andy at andy@metroinfo.co.uk

Central London Lettings – August 2017

Central London office lettings in August 2017 reached an exceptional 1.57m sq ft of deals from 58 mid-large size transactions (5,000 sq ft+) during the month. The August figure exceeds the current monthly average of just under 1m sq ft .

August was characterised by 13 office deals over 20,000 sq ft, which included Deutsche Bank’s 470,000 sq ft pre-let at 21 Moorfields, EC2: WeWork’s two pre-lets at The Stage, EC2 and the nearby ‘Shoreditch Exchange’; Kings College London took 73,000 sq ft at Roman Wall House, EC3, and Atos took 42,000 sq ft at Mid City Place, WC1.

Financial services topped the table of lettings by sector, underpinned by the Deutsche Bank deal. This was followed by business services with large deals involvingWeWork. IT services also performed well, helped by the lettings to OpenText and Kobalt. Office deals ‘under offer’ in central London held steady at 3.5m sq ft and pending deal volumes are healthy in nearly all sub-markets.

By area, the City accounted for 68pc of the office floorspace let in August at 1,066,000 sq ft. The West End saw 233,000 sq ft of take-up. Midtown contributed 145,000 sq ft of lettings. Current London office demand is calculated to be around 3.3m sq ft in the City and 2.9m sq ft in the West End.

The volume of grade A (newly built or refurbished office space) let during the month reached 1.2m sq ft (77% of the monthly total), as transactions for new space resumed their recent strong showing.

Metropolis research is currently monitoring 600 London requirements, with deals for space of up to 2.5m sq ft due to sign in the next few months.

Cityoffices and Metropolis are working on an autumn 2017 update to their twice yearly London Skyline report. The update will contain details of dozens of new office schemes under construction, planning applications and consents, with scheme by scheme detail on the Cityoffices.net website. Details on Cityoffices from Andy King at andy@metroinfo.co.uk

Office Relocations Planned in August

Metropolis ran 645 business leads on ‘office movers’ in the month of August 2017. If all reported moves were added together the total would exceed 17 million sq ft of office searches and transactions, researched by Metropolis’ unique market led intelligence research team. London was the largest region with 284 leads during month, but there were also strong showings from the South East (62), North West (62), Yorkshire (49) and Scotland (42). IT services, professional and financial were the largest business sectors planning relocations or agreeing moves during the month.

The business leads covered the whole UK and provided details of the size of the office occupier, its likely move dates, a description of the reasons for the move, its business sector and full contact details including an address for written inquiries, at least one telephone number and in most cases an email address. Some of the largest planned moves and top picks amongst the 580 July leads, included those on Deutsche Bank, EBRD, Medicines and Healthcare Agency and TK Maxx.

The August 2017 leads included 214 ‘identified requirements’. Which means that the company confirmed to researchers that it has current or future plans to search for alternative office space. Of these 214 searches, 130 were new office searches, not previously notified to clients.

The most recent research also included 161 ‘potential movers’ which were mainly longer-term leads on occupiers, considering a relocation, but have yet to make a final decision on whether to search.

Most of the remaining stories covered companies that have signed for new office space and have set a move date, including some large pre-lets and companies inviting tenders for fit-out contracts. The shortest planned move date is just over a month away, whilst the longest was late 2020.

If you would like some information on flexible Metropolis subscription packages, then please email Simon at simon@metroinfo.co.uk

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Cityoffices.net, the sister property leads service to Metropolis, saw a further 25 stories posted in August, covering new development opportunities planning applications, consents, construction starts and development teams in London and major cities. The database now covers over 200 office schemes in the pipeline for construction starts in 2017-2020.

For more information on Cityoffices, email Andy at andy@metroinfo.co.uk

Aberdeen, Edinburgh and Glasgow Offices

A recent report from Savills on the Scottish office market, saw lettings reach 1.4m sq ft for the first half of 2017, 20% above the five year half year average.

Savills say that the Aberdeen office market has seen increased letting activity in recent months driven by the increased oil price. Take up during the first half of 2017 reached 238,000 sq ft, exceeding the 2016 full year level. 78% of take up was accounted for by the engineering, oil and utilities sector, up from 17% last year.  Nonetheless there remains ample supply of office space in the Aberdeen market, which has fallen just 3% from end 2016 to stand at 2 million sq ft. Office schemes at the Silver Fin building and Marischal Square are both expected to complete during the second half of 2017, providing 287,000 sq ft of additional speculative offices.

Edinburgh saw the strongest quarter of take up on record during the second quarter of 2017, according to Savills, pushing the half year total to 772,000 sq ft, which was 50% above the five year first half average.
Total city centre take up at half year reached 541,000 sq ft. This was largely driven by the GPU (Government Property Unit) signing a pre-let on 180,000 sq ft of space at New Waverley. Other large scale deals included Computershare signing a pre-let for 41,000 sq ft of space to be refurbished in Four North and Burness Paull regearing on 27,000 sq ft at 50 Lothian Road. Other deals in the out of town market included Standard Life signing for 31,000 sq ft at South Gyle Broadway. Grade A available office space remains scarce in Edinburgh, with only 313,000 sq ft of space remaining,

Glasgow saw office lettings reach 434,000 sq ft across the city centre and out of town markets during the first half of 2017, in line with the five year first half average. The largest deal was the Student Loans Company’s 41,000 sq ft letting of Europa House. Despite modest take up figures for the city centre market, the out of town market saw a number of engineering companies take space, which has accounted for 25% of the wider market take up this year.With a number of large deals under offer in the city centre, such as DWP, take up in Glasgow looks set to reach Savills forecast of 600,000 sq ft for the full year.

Metropolis has published 60 business leads on Aberdeen, Edinburgh and Glasgow occupiers with requirements, looking for office space over the last six months. It is also reporting on nearly 100 office tenants that are ‘potential movers’ as they approach decisions on whether to renew leases or relocate in 2018 and 2019.