Banking and the Office Market

CBRE has just published its report: “Why We Can Bank on London 2018” which looks at subsectors within London’s financial services ‘ecosystem’: investment and retail banks, fintech firms, traditional asset managers and private equity firms and hedge funds. The intentions of occupiers in these sectors make up a large part of the Metropolis weekly office leads output.

The financial sector accounted for 27% of active space requirements by sq ft in autumn 2018

CBRE say Since the EU referendum, banks have continued to commit to London with Deutsche Bank taking 550,000 sq ft and SMBC taking 161,000 sq ft, while Wells Fargo took 220,000 sq ft for its new European
headquarters. However, banks have also been ‘nearshoring’ (moving staff to regional hubs in the UK) with Bank of America, JP Morgan and Deutsche Bank all announcing plans in late 2012 to move 3,000 jobs away from London.

The UK has been ranked first globally for the strongest fintech sector since 2016. It’s largest companies include Funding Circle, a peer-to-peer financing platform for companies and mobile banking service Revolut is achieving ‘unicorn’ status in April 2018 on reaching a valuation of $1.7bn (both companies’ intentions recently featured on Metropolis).  Fast growing Nutmeg is the first firm to offer an online discretionary investment management service in the UK. Fintech firms are dispersed but have tended to cluster in areas such as Canary Wharf and the City, where initiatives such as Level39 provide provide space. The typical lifecycle of a fintech firm begins in low-cost flexible space, usually in fringe locations. Typically, the firm then moves to a larger and more corporate space as it matures. Metropolis has run nearly 40 leads on fintech companies recently.

Private equity and hedge funds. London is the second largest centre globally for hedge fund managers  Over the past 10 years, firms other than banks or traditional asset managers have accounted for 61% of the sector’s total take-up of 27m sq ft in Central London. There are currently over 200,000 sq ft of office requirements live in this sector in central London. Metropolis has brought subscribers over 30 stories about hedge fund companies office move intentions in recent months.

CBRE conclude by forecasting the rise of agile working becoming more widely adopted in the banking sector, increasingly shifting towards more open plan offices and policies such as working from home. Firms are also increasingly considering an area’s wealth of amenities and transport links. For private equity firms in particular this could become a growing trend as they move away from prestige locations such as Knightsbridge and Mayfair to better connected locations.

Metropolis has run over 500 leads on London-based financial sector occupiers relocation intentions in 2018.

Merry Christmas to all Metropolis blog readers.

Paul Ives, Metropolis Head of Research. December 2018

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Metropolis Movers October 2018

Metropolis ran 616 business leads on ‘office movers’ in October 2018. If all reported moves were added together the total would exceed 14 million sq ft of office searches and transactions, researched by Metropolis’ unique market-led intelligence research team, last month.

London was the largest region with 300 business leads during month, but there were also strong showings from the North West (61), South East (52) and Yorkshire (52). Financial services, IT and business services were the largest business sectors planning relocations or agreeing moves during the month.

The relocation leads geographically covered the whole UK and provided details of the size of the office occupier, company likely move dates, a description of the reasons for the move, its business sector and full contact details including an address for written inquiries, at least one telephone number and in most cases an email address. Some of the largest planned moves and top picks amongst the 616 October leads, included those on occupiers Shell UK, IBM, WPP,Jane Street Capital and McCann Worldgroup .

The October 2018 leads included 161 ‘identified requirements’, including 100 in London. Which means that the company confirmed to researchers that it has current or future plans to search for alternative office space. Of these 175 searches, 109 were newly posted office searches, not previously notified to clients.

The most recent research also included 176 ‘potential movers,’ which were mainly longer-term leads on occupiers, considering a future relocation, but the occupier has yet to make a final decision on whether to search.

Most of the remaining stories covered companies that have just signed for new office space and have set a move date, including some large pre-lets and companies inviting tenders for fit-out contracts. The shortest planned move date is just over a month away, whilst the longest was late 2021.

Recent research by Metropolis concluded that a conservative estimate of ‘live’ business tender opportunities on the database in recent months, exceeded £1bn of business.

If you would like some information on flexible Metropolis subscription packages, then please email Andy or Paul at andy@metroinfo.co.uk or paul@metroinfo.co.uk, mentioning ‘Metropolis Blog’

Metropolis Movers in August 2018

Metropolis ran 601 business leads on ‘office movers’ in August 2018. If all reported moves were added together the total would exceed 15 million sq ft of office searches and transactions, researched by Metropolis’ unique market-led intelligence research team, last month.

London was the largest region with 309 business leads during month, but there were also strong showings from the South East (72),  North West (60) and Yorkshire (46). Financial services, IT and business services were the largest business sectors planning relocations or agreeing moves during the month.

The relocation leads geographically covered the whole UK and provided details of the size of the office occupier, company likely move dates, a description of the reasons for the move, its business sector and full contact details including an address for written inquiries, at least one telephone number and in most cases an email address. Some of the largest planned moves and top picks amongst the 601 July leads, included those on occupiers AstraZeneca, NTT Data, BNY Mellon, Booking.com and BGC International.

The August 2018 leads included 203 ‘identified requirements’, including 120 in London. Which means that the company confirmed to researchers that it has current or future plans to search for alternative office space. Of these 203 searches, 104 were newly posted office searches, not previously notified to clients.

The most recent research also included 133 ‘potential movers,’ which were mainly longer-term leads on occupiers, considering a relocation, but the occupier has yet to make a final decision on whether to search.

Most of the remaining stories covered companies that have just signed for new office space and have set a move date, including some large pre-lets and companies inviting tenders for fit-out contracts. The shortest planned move date is just over a month away, whilst the longest was late 2021.

Recent research by Metropolis concluded that a conservative estimate of ‘live’ business tender opportunities on the database in recent months, exceeded £1bn of business.

If you would like some information on flexible Metropolis subscription packages, then please email Andy at andy@metroinfo.co.uk, mentioning ‘Metropolis Blog’

Central London office lettings in July 2018

Central London office lettings in July 2018 reached just over 1.4m sq ft from 41 mid-large size office transactions (5,000 sq ft+) during the month. The July 2018 figure is comfortably above the current monthly London average of 1m sq ft.

July was characterised by 15 office deals over 20,000 sq ft, which were led by the Facebooks’s 600,000 sq ft deal to pre-let 11/21 Canal Reach and Building P2 Handyside Street, N1; WeWork’s 131,000 sq ft deal at Aviation House, WC2 and Houlihan Lokey’s 41,000 sq ft move to 1 Curzon Street, W1.

IT and technology services topped the table of lettings by sector, compiled by Metropolis, underpinned by the huge Facebook deal, plus a deal to Benevolent AI. This was followed by business services led by a number of lettings to WeWork and The Office Group. Financial services, professional and media were also well represented. Office deals ‘under offer’ in central London increased to 3.8m sq ft, and pending deal volumes are healthy in nearly all sub-markets, with a number of deals pending.

By area, the City accounted for 7pc of the office floorspace let in July 2018 at 100,000 sq ft. The West End saw 276,000 sq ft of take-up. Midtown contributed a record breaking 950,000 sq ft of lettings. Current London office demand is calculated to be around 3.6m sq ft in the City and 3.1m sq ft in the West End.

The volume of grade A (newly built or refurbished office space) let during the month reached 800,000 sq ft sq ft (57% of the monthly total), as transactions for new space resumed their recent strong showing. Availability is dominated by secondhand space in all London markets.

Metropolis research is currently monitoring 650 ‘live’ London requirements, with deals for space of up to 1.7m sq ft due to sign in the next few months.

Cityoffices is working on its autumn ‘Skyline Survey’ in London. Further details of office scheme planning applications and consents, with scheme by scheme detail are listed on the Cityoffices.net website. Details on Metropolis and the Cityoffices database from Andy King at andy@metroinfo.co.uk

Metropolis Office Mover Leads in June 2018

Metropolis ran 562 business leads on ‘office movers’ in June 2018. If all reported moves were added together the total would exceed 14 million sq ft of office searches and transactions, researched by Metropolis’ unique market-led intelligence research team, last month.

London was the largest region with 240 business leads during month, but there were also strong showings from the South East (60),  Scotland (51) North West (43) and Yorkshire (35) . Business services and financials services were the largest business sectors planning relocations or agreeing moves during the month.

The relocation leads covered the whole UK and provided details of the size of the office occupier, company likely move dates, a description of the reasons for the move, its business sector and full contact details including an address for written inquiries, at least one telephone number and in most cases an email address. Some of the largest planned moves and top picks amongst the 562 June leads, included those on occupiers Amazon, British Airways, Barclays, Scottish Office and WeWork.

The June 2018 leads included 171 ‘identified requirements’, including 84 in London. Which means that the company confirmed to researchers that it has current or future plans to search for alternative office space. Of these 171 searches, 100 were newly posted office searches, not previously notified to clients.

The most recent research also included 160 ‘potential movers’ which were mainly longer-term leads on occupiers, considering a relocation, but the occupier has yet to make a final decision on whether to search.

Most of the remaining stories covered companies that have just signed for new office space and have set a move date, including some large pre-lets and companies inviting tenders for fit-out contracts. The shortest planned move date is just over a month away, whilst the longest was late 2020.

Recent research by Metropolis concluded that a conservative estimate of ‘live’ business tender opportunities on the database in recent months, exceeded £1bn of business.

If you would like some information on flexible Metropolis subscription packages, then please email Andy at andy@metroinfo.co.uk, mentioning ‘Metropolis Blog’

Edinburgh’s Strong 2nd Quarter

Recent research by CBRE Scotland has pointed to a strong second quarter for Edinburgh’s office market, after a slow start to the year. Figures show a Q2 take-up of 351,916 sq ft of take-up – a 150% increase in take-up from Q1 2018, bringing office take-up in the first half of 2018 in Edinburgh to just under half a million sq ft (491,885 sq ft).

The recently announced pre-let to asset management firm Baillie Gifford taking over 60,000 sq ft at the newly developed Mint Building in St Andrew Square was possibly the stand out deal of the quarter, followed by other large lettings including 43,801 sq ft at 11-12 Lochside Place to Diageo and 14,832 sq ft at Atria One to EDP Renewables. The largest deal of the quarter was Edinburgh Palette (a workspace facility) occupying 109,153 sq ft of space at 525 Ferry Road, albeit on a short-term lease.

Metropolis is tracking around 40 occupiers searching for office space in Edinburgh. In general, tenant demand is considered to be buoyant, with a number of existing occupiers approaching lease expiries and seeking to relocate.

Meanwhile in the mid size range: The Scottish Public Services Ombudsman (SPSO) took 16,568 sq ft of out of town space at Bridgeside House, a Smart development at MacDonald Road, while Instant Offices, the serviced office provider, took 2,230 sq m (24,000 sq ft) of offices at the Cornerstone Building in South Gyle.

Total Edinburgh office supply remains at a low level at 923,540 sq ft, with 225,231 sq ft for city centre Grade A space. This represents a 30% decrease on the available space from the same period in 2017. The next scheme to complete is 2 Semple Street in Edinburgh city centre, which is due to be ready for occupation at the end of July 2018,  providing 38,648 sq ft of Grade A office accommodation across six floors.

CBRE say that there continues to be a number of larger, unsatisfied requirements for Edinburgh city centre.

Leeds Office Market Q1 2018

Take up of Leeds city centre office space has grown by 83 per cent in the opening months of 2018, according to the Leeds Office Agents’ Forum (LOAF).

Office leasing figures released by LOAF have revealed that 191,861 sq ft of office space was taken up by occupiers in the city centre in first quarter of 2018 as part of 28 office deals. This represents an 83 per cent increase on the same period last year and the strongest first quarter recorded for five years.

Of the 28 city centre transactions to complete, the largest was the 76,000 sq ft acquisition at 33 Wellington Street by Walker Morris and the letting to the Dart Group (Jets2) of the remaining 48,272 sq ft at The Mint was the only other city centre transaction above 10,000 sq ft. Both deals came after long searches. Out of town the largest deals were Balfour Beatty and Call Credit.

Leeds remains an attractive city for ‘northshoring’ attracting a number of companies looking to set up back office operations, whilst serviced office providers are becoming increasingly interested in opening new centres in Leeds.

There remain a healthy number of live requirements within the market. Metropolis is tracking up to 40 companies searching and a further 100 occupiers approaching decisions on upcoming lease expiries over the next two years